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年龄‑肌酐‑射血分数评分联合Apelin‑13对川崎病患儿冠状动脉病变的预测效果
Predictive effect of age‑creatinine‑ejection fraction score combined with Apelin-13 on coronary artery lesion in children with Kawasaki disease

内科 202419卷01期 页码:42-47

作者机构:河南省开封市儿童医院内一科,开封市 475000

DOI:10.16121/j.cnki.cn45-1347/r.2024.01.09

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目的 探讨年龄‑肌酐‑射血分数(ACEF)评分联合Apelin‑13对川崎病患儿冠状动脉病变(CAL)的预测效果。方法 回顾性分析185例川崎病患儿临床资料,依据是否并发CAL将其分为CAL组(n=35)和非CAL组(n=150)。比较两组患儿的临床资料,应用多因素Logistic回归分析法分析川崎病患儿发生CAL的影响因素,应用受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线分析ACEF评分联合Apelin‑13预测川崎病患儿发生CAL的价值。结果 CAL组患儿发热持续时间>10 d的占比、ACEF评分,以及C反应蛋白、肌钙蛋白I、D‑二聚体、白细胞介素(IL)‑1β、IL‑6、IL‑10、氨基末端脑钠肽前体、肿瘤坏死因子‑α水平均高于非CAL组,Apelin‑13水平、红细胞沉降率、血红蛋白水平均低于非CAL组(均P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,发热持续时间、ACEF评分、Apelin‑13水平、IL‑10水平均为川崎病患儿发生CAL的影响因素(均P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示,ACEF评分和Apelin‑13水平对川崎病患儿发生CAL均有一定预测价值,且二者联合的预测价值优于单项预测。结论 ACEF评分和Apelin‑13水平均为川崎病患儿发生CAL的影响因素,二者联合对川崎病患儿发生CAL有较佳的预测价值。


Objective To investigate the predictive effect of age-creatinine-ejection fraction (ACEF) score combined with Apelin-13 on coronary artery lesion(CAL) in children with Kawasaki disease. Methods The clinical data of 185 children with Kawasaki disease were retrospectively analyzed, and they were divided into the CAL group (n=35) or the non-CAL group (n=150) according to if complicated with CAL. The clinical data of the two groups were compared, multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze influencing factors of CAL in children with Kawasaki disease, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the value of ACEF score combined with Apelin-13 in predicting CAL in children with Kawasaki disease. Results The proportion of children with fever duration >10 days, ACEF score, and levels of C-reactive protein, troponin I, D-dimer, interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-6, IL-10, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, and tumor necrosis factor-α in the CAL group were higher than those in the non-CAL group, but the Apelin-13 level, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and hemoglobin level were lower than those in the non-CAL group (all P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis results showed that the fever duration, ACEF score, Apelin-13 level, and IL-10 level were influencing factors of CAL in children with Kawasaki disease (all P<0.05). The results of ROC curve analysis showed that the ACEF score and Apelin-13 level had certain predictive values on CAL in children with Kawasaki disease, and the predictive value of their combination was higher than that of one single index. Conclusion The ACEF score and Apelin-13 level are influencing factors for CAL in children with Kawasaki disease, and their combination had a higher predictive value in predicting the occurrence of CAL in children with Kawasaki disease.


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